Indicators seem to be mostly Bullish into the election, with the put/call ratio up to 75 and the McClellan Oscillator minus 37 ( I like -50 for oversold). Opinion surveys, which report midweek, are diverging, with the Inv.Intell. complacent but the AAII nervous. Bullish % actually gave a SELL signal with its 7 point drop, and Insider Selling leapt up from 12:1 to 55:1 over Buying.
Here are the numbers:
| Date> | 10/26/2012 | 10/19/2012 | |
| Indices: | DJIA | 13107 | 13343 |
| NAZ | 2987 | 3005 | |
| SPX | 1411 | 1433 | |
| WklyVolume (Bshs). | |||
| NASD/NYSE | 9.0/3.4 | 9.3/3.6 | |
| Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.65 | 2.58 | |
| nasd/nyse | |||
| Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 75 | 68 |
| VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 17.8 | 17.06 | |
| Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 1151/1998 | 1864/1288 | |
| Weekly Net: | -847 | 576 | |
| Cumulative: | 141186 | 142033 | |
| Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 231/113 | 468/70 |
| New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 117/186 | 220/131 |
| McClellan | Oscillator | -37 | -18 |
| McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 381 | 557 |
| Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 41.5 | 42.6 |
| Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 27.7 | 26.6 |
| AAII -Bull :wed. | 29.2 | 28.7 | |
| Bear | 43.1 | 44.5 | |
| COT:Change w/w | large/small (net)k | (3)/30 | . 4/24 |
| CEOinsider | selling | 55:1 | 12:1 |
| 3-box rev | Bullish%- | 69 | 76 |
| US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | 1weeklag | (1.7B) |
| MMF flows | Change in $B | .9B | 5.8B |
| MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | AUG.: | 287B |
| ETF:Eqty/ | Int'l/Bond | AUG.: | 715/270/230 |
| Assets in | Billion$$ . | ||
| 2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.31% | 0.30% | |
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