Monday, August 28, 2017

unLABOR DAY

A week before Labor Day, everyone, including global economists at Jackson Hole, seems to be on vacation - with both NYSE and Nasdaq Volume below normal levels. However, the recent market decline has reversed, as has the NYSE Hi/Lo reading. The AAII Bull/Bear ratio inverted to the Bear side (Bullish for stocks); the Dollar hit a new recent Low, and MMF inflows continue to expand, as they leave equity funds and ETFs. But Margin Debt leapt back to all time highs, with low interest rates. Not a good sign for when rates rise again, just as with the national debt of $20T !!
Here are the numbers:

Date
8/25/2017
8/18/2017
Indices: DJIA  21813 21674
NAZ  6265 6216
SPX  2443 2425
WklyVolume (Bshs). naz/ny…. 7.6/3.5 9.0/3.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.17 2.31
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  61 71
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 11.3 14.3
DeltaMSI-50% MAC crossover 48 51
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2126/944 1386/1678
Weekly Net: 1182 -292
     Cumulative: 178803 177621
Weekly  NYSE hi/low… 207/203 164/245
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 152/222 147/282
McClellan  Oscillator 8 -49
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 172 241
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull 48.1 50.5
Surveys-Tues Bear:-5yrs 18.3 18.1
Wed. AAII  -Bull  28.1 34.2
Bear  38.3 32.8
US$-WSJ 92.5 93.4
3-box rev Bullish%-  65 54
US equity -ICI Fund Flows weeklate (11.2B)
MMF flows Change in $B 29,4B 12.6B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  550B
10-yr Tsy yield hi= stock buying 2.17 2.2
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 1.33 1.31
TIP (ETF) Inflation 114.1 114

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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