Saturday, July 8, 2017

SAME OLD

Not much change over the mid-week Holiday. Indices were positive, breadth negative, Volume almost halved. The TIP did break down below 113, and short term Treasury rates jumped a bit.
Bull/Bear ratios still very strong on the Bull side, as investors pour $$ into ETFs now, mostly SPY.
Great interview of Burton Malkiel on this by Consuela Mack - Wealthtrack (PBS or .com).
Question is - which ends first?: Fed propping up the markets or Index fund Inflows, propping up weak as well as strong stocks in each Index.
Here are last week's numbers:
Date   7/7/2017 6/30/2017
Indices: DJIA  21414 21349
  NAZ  6153 6140
SPX  2425 2423
WklyVolume (Bshs). naz/ny…. 6.6/3.0* 10.7/4.4
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.2 2.43
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  63 66
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 11.2 11.2
DeltaMSI-50% MAC crossover 63.3 61.6
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1418/1630 1688/1404
Weekly Net: -212 284
     Cumulative: 177925 178137
Weekly  NYSE hi/low… 229/96 297/57
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 164/107 314/104
McClellan  Oscillator -11 0
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 560 584
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull 52.5 54.9
Surveys-Tues Bear:-5yrs 18.8 18.6
Wed. AAII  -Bull  29.6 29.7
Bear  29.9 26.9
US$-WSJ 96 95.7
3-box rev Bullish%-  73 72
US equity -ICI Fund Flows weeklate  (4.4B)
MMF flows Change in $B 4.7B 4.2B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  540
10-yr Tsy yield hi= stock buying 2.39 2.5
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 1.4 1.38
TIP (ETF) Inflation 112.4 113.4

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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