Friday, October 3, 2014

San Diego

Before I fly out on United's Ebola Gay to San Diego here is the week's Sentiment update a/o Friday midday:
Although the usual signal from the McClellan Oscillator did not work on Monday, it did kick in after the minus 50 (53) signal from Thursday - hence Friday's upsurge. The Bull / Bear surveys remained the same - the I I comes out on Tuesdays and the AAII on Wednesdays. Many n/as from the week in progress; individual insider selling remains strangely constant, with the Sector figures doubling - 25: to 52:1 sellers over buyers.
Finally the August numbers came in for margin debt (actually reported last week) just below record highs at 463B; ETF totals all rose to new highs - equity, Int'l and Bonds - despite Gross's departure.
Here are the numbers:

Date> 10/2/14* 9/26/2014
Indices: DJIA  17010 17113
  NAZ  4481 4512
SPX  1968 1982
WklyVolume (Bshs). naz/ny n/a 9.0/3.5
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish n/a 2.57
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  69
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 14.9
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. n/a 646/2592
Weekly Net: n/a -1946
     Cumulative: n/a 161903
Weekly  NYSE hi/low n/a 88/315
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l n/a 95/322
McClellan  Oscillator -53 -43
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 -272 -55
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 47.5 48
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 15.1 15.3
AAII  -Bull :wed. 35.4 41.8
Bear  30.9 28.2
COT:SPX w/w large/small (net)k n/a (1k)/35k
COT:gold  comm.hedg long-short.000 (64k)
CEOinsider selling 52:1 25:1
off.&bd b/s.vs. 10% holder b/s 175:40 175/35
3-box rev Bullish%-  65 70
US equity -ICI Fund Flows WeekDelay  (1.5B)
MMF flows Change in $B 22.8B 15B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  463B 463B
ETF:mthlyEqty/ Int'l/Bond-$B 1141/454/281 1141/454/281
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.57% 0.58%nh

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