Monday, December 5, 2011

RALLYTIME?:

Last week's pre-Xmas gift in the markets sent most Indicators into the median area; however, the AAII bull/bear ratio (one of the better Indicators) is still inverted for a seasonal upswing.
Monthly ETF flows show a big swing into Equities -
Here are the numbers:

Date>

11/25/2011 12/2/2011
Indices: DJIA 
11231 12019
  NAZ 
2441 2626

SPX 
1158 1244
NASD/NYSE WklyVolume (Bshs) 3.1/6.3 5.3/9.1
nasd/nyse Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.03 1.72
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  69 61
Barron's VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 34.47 27.5

Advance/Dec-NYSE na 2698/479

Weekly Net: " 2219

     Cumulative: " 124883
Weekly  NYSE hi/low " 258/120
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l " 95/229
McClellan  Oscillator -98 -2
McClellan Sum .+750/-1000 296 176
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 47.4 44.2
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 32.6 30.5

AAII  -Bull :wed. 32.7 33

Bear 
38.3 39.4
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k na …4/12
CEOinsider selling
7:1 11:1
BalticDryIndex GlobalEcon 1854 1862
3-box rev Bullish%-  50 58
US equity -ICI Fund Flows (.1B) 1 wk lag
MMF flows Change in $B 1B 6.1B
MargDebt-mkt down 22% 1 year after top (300M) monthly Sept:
283B
ETF:Eqty/Int'l/Bond  million$$ Sept:
615/265/174
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.28% 0.26%

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