Monday, September 28, 2009

SEPTEMBER SONG:

Back from vacation (briefly), but off again later this week. The blogsite is being tweaked to offer better customer-friendly viewing, so please bear with us. Past and future suggestions welcome.

After a 3-day and away correction the Bull seems to be on track as contrary opinion outvoted the media punsters about a mensis horribilis.

The McClellan Oscillator oscillated between a plus 45 (heralding the correction last week) to a negative 43 this week - an unusual swing. Mutual fund flows were still flat, with most money coming out of MMFs into Bonds in huge amounts. Longer term, there was a huge number of Insider Selling by key employes last week: 54:1. Bullish per cent is still toppy at record highs, Bulls/Bears ratios are mixed, with the AAII reversing to the Bear majority last week. And new highs were tremendous at 635 vs. 5 new lows - either a sign of strong breadth, or a toppy indication. Time will tell.

Here are the numbers:


MktSentiment
9/25/2009
Prev. Week
5Yr. HI
5Yr. LOW





DJIA:
9665
9783
14093
6626
Nasdaq:
2090
2126
2810
1114
S&P500:
1044
1065
1561
683
CBOE Eq.




  put/call:
61
53
96-10/08
46-1/03
VIX:
25.6
23.6
90
8.8
McClellan Osc:
-43
45
108
-100
McClelSum:
1426
1436
1568
-1514
Newsletter Surveys




Inv.Intel



22.21
Bull:
46.7
47.8
63
22.21
Bear:
24.4
24.4
54.4
16
AAII-Bull/Bear:
39.1/44.6
42.0/40.0
n/a

Nova/Ursa:




MutualFunds:
0.86
0.89
2.2
0.56
Baltic Dry Index:
2163
2390
11700
663
Bullish%:
86
87
88
2
Insider corporate




sellers:
54:1
n/a
108:1
2.4:1
Mutual Fund Inflows:
-.3B
.8B


ETF Inflows:
1.5B
4B


VIX Volatility:
-4
-10
12
-22
VIX 1-month future:
-16
-18
2
-18
VIX 5-month future:
-4
-5
8
-7











www.mktsentiment.blogspot.com is a free weekly display of important contrary opinion statistics, with the disclosure that eventual fees may be paid to the author from readers clicking on the website and/or the small ad at the top of the column.
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