Monday, October 14, 2013


Although there was some Volatility while I was enjoying the liquid sunshine in San Diego, the two weeks of market action and Sentiment Indicator movement was rather benign. O-Bomb-A (the Nobel Peace Prize winner) and Hairy Reed moved Bo-ner to tears several times, but the markets wound up about where they left off in Sept.

The late Bullish surge took the VIX down and the specu ratio of Nasd to NYSE Volume up; the huge Insider Selling of two weeks ago at 180:1 over Buyers ameliorated to only 42:1. Commercials selling Gold remains high, @ 70k contracts in the COT tables. And MMF flows were out for the two weeks, after being inflows of $36B before.

Here are the numbers:

10/11/2013 10/3/2013
Indices: DJIA  15237 15066
  NAZ  3791 3807

SPX  1703 1690
WklyVolume (Bshs). 9.3/3.4 8.8/3.6
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.74 2.44
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  65 63
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 15.7 16.7
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1784/1393 1502/1673
Weekly Net:
391 -171
     Cumulative: 151568 151177
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 260/168 342/118
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 278/88 414/68
McClellan  Oscillator 11 -26
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 123 289
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 45.4 46.4
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 20.6 18.6

AAII  -Bull :wed. 41.3 37.8

Bear  25.1 30.1
COT:SPX w/w large/small (net)k 11/14 16/(25)
COT:gold  comm.hedg long-short.000 -72 -68
CEOinsider selling 42:1 n/a
3-box rev Bullish%-  76 78
US equity -ICI Fund Flows WeekDelay (4.1B)
MMF flows Change in $B (19.8B) (8.5B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 

ETF:mthlyEqty/ Int'l/Bond-$B

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.36% 0.33%

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