Monday, August 13, 2012

REASONS TO BE BULLISH:

The recent uptrend in stocks (except on Mondays) is heartening; Volumes from Nasdaq vs. NYSE hit a record for speculation last week showing Risk On. More on Volume behavior in my Examiner column:
 

Breadth has been strong lately (New highs 10:1 on the NY; Nasdaq turning positive). In the Barron's Option column, Larry McMillan states that the AAII Bull/Bear ratio has only been this positive 4 times over the past 15 years - Oct. '98, March '03, '08, & '09 - all starting new rallies. VIX futures - VXX are also accommodative.  

Here are the numbers:


Date>
8/10/2012 8/3/2012
Indices: DJIA  13207 13096
  NAZ  3020 2967

SPX  1405 1390
NASD/NYSE WklyVolume (Bshs). 8.5/3.1 8.5/4.1
nasd/nyse Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.70 2.07
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  61 69
Barron's VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 14.7 15.6

Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2020/1117 1754/1383

Weekly Net: 903 371

     Cumulative: 139117 138214
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 495/51 517/114
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 208/134 176/201
McClellan  Oscillator 17 4
McClellan Sum .+750/-1000 601 508
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 43.6 39.4
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 25.5 27.7

AAII  -Bull :wed. 36.5 30.4

Bear  27.4 34.9
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 6/(5) 2/(3)
CEOinsider selling 45:1 12:01
BalticDryIndex GlobalEcon
discont.
3-box rev Bullish%-  67 68
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1 wk lag (5.7B)
MMF flows Change in $B 10.9B (4.0B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  JUNE: 284 B
ETF:Eqty/Int'l/Bond  million$$ . JUNE: 686/258/222
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.26% 0.25%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark

No comments:

Post a Comment