Monday, March 1, 2010

CAPITALISM OR CAPITOLISM?:

In my view, despite the nascent recovery underway, the gov't still wants to intervene in its awkward way ( my book proof has been 10 days so far in getting to me via the U.S.Postpartum Service). Hypothetically speaking, if the Fed had lowered rates via the Taylor Rule to 3% instead of zero, the $3+T in MMFs and at least an equal amount of T-Bills, CDs, etc. would have earned its holders $180B a year more (1/5th of the Stimulus without the debt) and consumers would be much more confident and happy - just my take.

Sentiment and the markets remain lamb-like so far in March, with the only extremes the CBOE put/call ratio at 70 puts over calls - the highest since Oct.1 of '09, the middle of the rally - other high numbers occurred in July - the start of the huge upsurge; and an 84 reading March 6 - A Day That Will Live.....

While breadth remains strong, survey letters and CEO selling are getting a bit toppy.

Here are the stats:

MktSentiment Last WeekPrev. Week 5 Yr HI 5 Yr LOW
DJIA:1032510402140936626
Nasdaq:2238224328051114
S&P 500:110411091561683
CBOE Eq. put/call: 706496-10/0846-1/03
VIX:19.520.0908.8
McClellan Osc:3156108-100
McClellan Sum:5063451568-1514
           Newsletter Surveys



InvestorsIntel.Bull:
41.135.66322.21
InvestorsIntel.Bear:
23.327.854.416
AAII Bull:
34.935.9n/an/a
AAII Bear:
29.535.2n/an/a
Nova/Ursa Mutual Funds:0.550.502.20.56
US Equity-1 week lag       n/a             0

Money Market Flows-1.6B-37.7B

ETF equity:Monthly TotalsJan.731BDec.777B

Baltic Dry Index:2707270411700663
Bullish %:
7169882
Insider Corporate Sellers:32:135:1108:12.4:1

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark

No comments:

Post a Comment