Market Sentiment - A Contrarian View

This Internet Blog attempts to exhibit the most meaningful Sentiment Indicators that we believe affect the performance of the market in different timeframes; most are Contrarian extremes suggesting that the majority has adopted a certain trend fully at the point at which it is about to reverse. Included are also comments about the Indicators and any other facts or ideas that are pertinent to market action. To Post comments,thanks to Haloscan, just click on "comments" and write away.

Monday, October 19, 2009

Market ZUGZWANG - Or Forced Move (chess term):

Amongst a rather tepid list of Indicators last week, with the VIX at a new recent low and the Bullish % still overbought, the only extremes were a bullish breadth number - the NYSE New Highs at 802 vs. only 6 NLs; the other extreme was, not so much the rise in Insider Selling, from 13:1 to 23:1, but strangely, the number of key officers buying company stock in the Financials, 3/4 of the total buying of all 10 sectors.

MktSentiment.           10/16/2009  Prev. Week.....5Yr.HI......LOW

DJIA  ……….           9995…………9865.………..14093............6626
Nasdaq……….         2156…………2139…………2810.............1114
S&P500……..           1087…………1076………….1561………..683
CBOE Eq.
..put/call...............................51………….52……..……96….....46                                   
VIX     ……….           21.4…………..23.1…….…….90…….….8.8
McClellan Osc………-16……………..7…………..108……..(-100) McClelSum…………..1154………..1160………..…....1568-....-1514
Newsletter Surveys:
Inv.Intel -
Bull:………………….n/a…………n/a.. ………….…63 ……...22.2l
Bear:…………           .n/a………….n/a……..……… 54.4….......16
AAII-Bull……………47.3…..........35.1
……Bear ………….…33.8……….41.2
Nova/Ursa
MutualFunds………0.74…………0.74…………….2.2……..0.56
Baltic Dry
Index                 ……2728………..2695………….11700………663                      
Bullish%-       …….…84…………..82………….…88…….....2
*Insider corporate
 sellers.   ……..           23:1……….13:1……………108:1…….2.4:1
Mutual Fund Inflows .. n/a

www.mktsentiment.blogspot.com is a free weekly display of important contrary opinion statistics, with the disclosure that eventual fees may be paid to the author from readers clicking on the website and/or the small ad at the top of the column.
Readers can request being added to an e-mail distribution list alert by sending address to leonbrnt@aol.com without fear of selling their names to spammers or contracting viruses.