Monday, April 4, 2005


The two Sentiment Indicators that stand out this week are the Mutual Fund Cash (IBD's figures) at a record high 5.6%, and the AAII Bull/Bear ratio of 28 to 51; both are multi-year highs, and both are Bullish for the markets. With the 3 indices right at or above the 200-day MA and previous Support levels we are still at that CMJ (Critical Market Juncture) that tells us whether we rebound against all odds or break through back into the previous 11-month Trading Range of 9,800/10,400 DJIA.The CBOE and ISE put/call ratios are still helping the Bull case, and the Advance/Decline actually did turn around last week to the positive side, making the McClellan Oscillator bounce off its bounded low. Finally, the Public to Specialist shorting reached a high of 2.15 (5-year high is 2.57), and the odd-lot shorts rose from 7.9M to 10.8M last week - a statistic I usually haven't followed since options became available to the little guy.

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Zero (IN)Tolerance

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