Monday, October 31, 2011

UNDER THE COUNTER; "BEAR"-LY BELOW:

According to my records of weekly closes, the Nasdaq is only 4.3% below its all-time highs of the last decade; the SPX down 17.7% and the DJIA 13.2%. Whether the NAZ can make new highs depends on the usual year-end rally and the upcoming Bullish 6-months cycle (Nov. to Apr.). The Election year of a Presidential (4-year Kinchen) cycle is usually slightly up. Beyond that, Martin Pring's Lost Decade is still the dominant cycle, echoing Japan's previous markets.

Here are the numbers:


MktSentiment Last WeekPrev. Week 5 Yr HI 5 Yr LOW
DJIA:1223411808140936626
Nasdaq:2737263728611114
S&P 500:128512381561683
CBOE Eq. put/call: 596496-10/0846-1/03
VIX:24.531.3908.8
McClellan Osc:7769108(123)
McClellan Sum:5461731568(1514)
           Newsletter Surveys



InvestorsIntel.Bull:
40.035.86322.21
InvestorsIntel.Bear:
37.941.054.416
AAII Bull:
43.036.0n/an/a
AAII Bear:
25.034.6n/an/a
US Equity-1 week lagn/a(3.5B)
Money Market Flows0(2B)

Baltic Dry Index:2153216111700663
Bullish %:
7763892
Insider Corporate Sellers:29:160:1235:12.4:1

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark

1 comment:

  1. Hi Brent,

    Would it be possible to have all the sentiment data over the 8 years period in one spread sheet, that would be great for us to clearly see the trend.

    Thanks,

    Jason

    ReplyDelete