Monday, June 27, 2011

JUNE SWOON:

Is the June Swoon over, or we just entering the JASON bad cycle where Fall means just that? Having reached Support from a Wyckoffian selloff to the 200MA and Jan. previous levels, can we achieve the conventional wisdom of a higher SPX by year-end?
The CBOE put/call ratio is still high, coming off a very high number, but the VIX doesn't echo fear. Inverted Bull/Bear sentiment has again righted itself, after calling a minor bottom. Money is flowing out of equity funds, but also out of MMFs.

MktSentiment Last WeekPrev. Week 5 Yr HI 5 Yr LOW
DJIA:1193412004140936626
Nasdaq:2652261628611114
S&P 500:126812711561683
CBOE Eq. put/call: 619396-10/0846-1/03
VIX:21.121.9908.8
McClellan Osc:(9)(31)108(123)
McClellan Sum:(11)(41)1568(1514)
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InvestorsIntel.Bull:
37.637.06322.21
InvestorsIntel.Bear:
282654.416
AAII Bull:
37.529n/an/a
AAII Bear:
35.742.8n/an/a
US Equity-1 week lagn/a(5.5B)
  
Money Market Flows(8.1B)(34.4B)

Baltic Dry Index:1409142311700663
Bullish %:
6060892
Insider Corporate Sellers:18:162:1235:12.4:1

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