Monday, July 12, 2010


With the wild first half of 2010 behind us, let us hope for a more sane market, although a couple reasons for it not to happen is the seasonality - over the past 57 years to 2008 $10k invested in stocks from November to April earned $578k, while the complementary 6 months actually saw a loss to $341. One other reason, brought to my attention by George Chen, who runs the S.F. Options Group, that Mars is going to be closer to the Earth than any time in recorded history in August, about the same size as the Moon!

The S.F. Bay Area Option Group meets this Saturday at Fort Mason, 9 a.m. - I'll be giving a talk on Pt. & Fig. charts -formation and forecast; Andrew Watson will talk on the VIX.

Indicators of note last week were the AAII Bears, at a very high level of 57 (Bullish FOR the market); the BDI, or Baltic Dry Index and Bullish per cent are at very low levels, and $18B went IN to MMFs last week - going for that high, zero % yield.

Speaking of Zero [as in my book Zero (In)Tolerance] , those of you who follow the DITM, or deep-in-the-money covered calls strategy, the results are in for 6 months:

Although the positive .4% annualized return - thanks to a couple plungers of BP and UVV - was disappointing to date, it still outperformed the minus 7.6% of the S&P 500 by 8%. Hopefully the second half will raise the bar. This strategy, of selling call option BELOW the Buy price of dividend stocks, is a defensive plan, optimal in a sideways to down market, as well as a money market alternative for a portion of assets. More at

Finally, I'm attaching to my email list a compilation of 2010 predictions for your viewing pleasure. Technicians Rule !

Last week numbers are posted -

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Zero (IN)Tolerance

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