Monday, February 8, 2010

GUNG HAY FAT CHOY:

Year of the Tiger (except for Woods, of course). Along with the New part of New Year, I have a new website: http://www.brentleonard.com, a new email: brentleonard59@gmail.com to replace aol, and a new book, to be published any day now (more found at the website on this).

For the curious, the book - Zero (In)Tolerance- is about an alternative to negative interest rates. If the Fed had lowered to a paltry 3% instead of zero, investors would be happier, would have $150B / year more to "Consume" with, instead of borrowing, and gov't debt - Stimulus - would be much lower.

Only the banks and carry-traders benefited from zero, and if banks are too big to fail, where did the word Bank-rupt come from?

Back to Sentiment - the CBOE Equity put/call ratio rose to a recent record of 69, due to the recent correction; the McClellan Oscillator remains under minus 50, an oversold level. Both surveys became inverted last week, with Bears over Bulls - a good sign for the market.

Here are the numbers:

MktSentiment Last WeekPrev. Week 5 Yr HI 5 Yr LOW
DJIA:1001210067140936626
Nasdaq:2141214728051114
S&P 500:106610731561683
CBOE Eq. put/call: 696896-10/0846-1/03
VIX:26.124.6908.8
McClellan Osc:-69-93108-100
McClellan Sum:2995461568-1514
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InvestorsIntel.Bull:
38.940.06322.21
InvestorsIntel.Bear:
40.023.354.416
AAII Bull:
29.235.0n/an/a
AAII Bear:
43.136.7n/an/a
Nova/Ursa Mutual Funds:0.510.682.20.56
US Equity-1 week lag
8.9B

Money Market Flows-13.6B-21.9B

ETF equity:Monthly TotalsDec.777BNov.738BB

Baltic Dry Index:2685322311700663
Bullish %:
6473882
Insider Corporate Sellers:28:18:1108:12.4:1

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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