Monday, November 30, 2009

DUE-BYE…KLUNK:

Yet another bubble of excess falls off a cliff - we'll know in the fullness of time what effect Dubai will have on the precarious global picture. Meanwhile Klunkers for Kars expires today -222,000 turned in, helping the sales numbers. Dow Theorists may observe that the Transports have put in a Head & Shoulder Top, in a divergence from the Industrials.

Although the AAII has the Bulls and Bears tied last week at 41.7, the I.I. (Inv.Intell.) has a huge spread of 50.6 to 17.6- Conventional wisdom is that the zugzwang of forced performance by money managers will carry us through '09; after the Dubai shocker, little was changed on the Holiday week, except lower Volume.

MktSentiment
Last Week Prev. Week 5 Year Hi 5 Year Low
DJIA:
10309
10318
14093
6626
Nasdaq:
2138
2146
2126
1114
S&P 500:
1091
1091
1561
683
CBOE Eq. put/call:
58
64
96-10/08
46-1/03
VIX:
24.7
22.2
90
8.8
McClellan Osc:
-28
-29
108
-100
McClellan Sum:
393
414
1568
-1514
Newsletter Surveys




InvestorsIntel.Bull:
50.6
46.1
63
22.21
InvestorsIntel.Bear:
17.6
21.3
54.4
16
AAII Bull:
41.7
42.7
n/a
n/a
AAII Bear:
41.7
31.8
n/a
n/a
Nova/Ursa Mutual Funds:
0.70
0.64
2.2
0.56
Mutual Fund Flows:
n/a
1.6B


Money Market Flows
-7.8B
3.7B


ETF equity:Monthly Totals
Oct.691B
Sep.$580B


Baltic Dry Index:
3974
4507
11700
663
Bullish %:
77
76
88
2
Insider Corporate Sellers:
26:1
31:1
108:1
2.4:1
VIX Volatility:
-63
-62
12
-70
VIX 1-month Future:
-61
-62
2
-59
VIX 5-month Future:
-19
-21
8
-23

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