DOOM AND GLOOM

Although not quite at record extremes, many Indicators below are starting to get frothy, as investors are switching from bonds to stocks. More commentary can be found at the Examiner link below:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date>		1/25/2013	1/18/2013
Indices:	DJIA	13895	13649
	NAZ	3149	3134
	SPX	1502	1485
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		7.3/2.7	9.0/3.6
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.70	2.50
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	66	61
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		12.9	12.4
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		2181/957	2197/968
Weekly Net:		1224	1229
Cumulative:		146829	145605
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	794/32	660/18
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	432/32	369/35
McClellan	Oscillator	35	42
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	1046	890
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	53.2	53.2
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	22.3	22.3
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	52.3	43.9
	Bear	24.3	27.3
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	12/35.	14/17.
CEOinsider	selling	47:1	22:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	81	78
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	5.0B
MMF flows	Change in $B	(4.9B)	(15.2B)
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly		327Bnov.
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond		747/304/244
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.29%	0.26%

BELOW ARE THE MULTI-YEAR HIGHS AND LOWS FOR THE INDICATORS:

Date>	DECADE	HI	LOW
Indices:	DJIA	14093	6626
	NAZ	2937	1114
	SPX	1561	683
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		3.15	1.59
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	104.11/08	42
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		90	8.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE..
Weekly Net:
Cumulative:		143458	71464
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	950	18
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l
McClellan	Oscillator	Jan.09:108	May.'12:(110)
McClellan Sum	.+750/-1000	1568-6/03	(1514).
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	62.9-12/04	22.2-10/08
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	54.4-10/08	15.6
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	(12/10)63.3
	Bear	70.3(3/09)	16.4
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k
CEOinsider	selling	235:1	.2.1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	88	2
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	381B(7/07)

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

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DOOM AND GLOOM

Oh Say Can U. C.?

Despite several reasons for a renewed Bull market - Asian resurgence from Japan and China economies, low rates, housing and low oil prices, valuations moving dollars from bonds to stocks- near term, the caution lights are on. More commentary at my Examiner.com:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

(For automatic alerts, please click on "Subscribe" at the top of the column)

Here are the numbers:

Date>		1/18/2013	1/11/2013
Indices:	DJIA	13649	13488
	NAZ	3134	3125
	SPX	1485	1472
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		9.0/3.6	8.6/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.50	2.61
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	61	67
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		12.4	13.4
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		2197/968	1937/1208
Weekly Net:		1229	729
Cumulative:		145605	144376
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	660/18	578/16
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	369/35	343/34
McClellan	Oscillator	42	40
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	890	735
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	53.2	51.1
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	22.3	23.4
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	43.9	46.4
	Bear	27.3	26.9
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	14/17.	6/23.
CEOinsider	selling	22:1	130:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	78	77
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	8.0B
MMF flows	Change in $B	(15.2B)	12B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly	327Bnov.
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond	747/304/244
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.26%	0.26%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

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Oh Say Can U. C.?

DJIA Vu

This week's Sentiment Indicators include some pretty wild extremes, considering the VIX is only at 13. For a commentary of these statistics, please click on:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date:		1/11/2013	1/4/2013
Indices:	DJIA	13488	13435
	NAZ	3125	3101
	SPX	1472	1466
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		8.6/3.3	7.1/2.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.61	2.45
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	67	58
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		13.4	13.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		1937/1208	3011/188
Weekly Net:		729	2823
Cumulative:		144376	143647
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	578/16	589/41
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	343/34	356/65
McClellan	Oscillator	40	55
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	735	533
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	51.1	47.8
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	23.4	24.5
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	46.4	38.7
	Bear	26.9	(3.6B)
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	6/23.	13/15.
CEOinsider	selling	130:1	59:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	77	75
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	(8.3B)	1weeklag
MMF flows	Change in $B	12B	38B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.26%	0.28%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

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DJIA Vu

2013

The first week of 2013 sees some toppiness in the Sentiment Indicators - if government will keep out of it! Please click on the Examiner.com link for more details:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date:		1/4/2013	12/28/2012
Indices:	DJIA	13435	12938
	NAZ	3101	2960
	SPX	1466	1402
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		7.1/2.9	4.1/1.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.45	2.16
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	58	68
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		13.8	22.7
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		3011/188	778/2373
Weekly Net:		2823	-1595
Cumulative:		143647	140824
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	589/41	152/73
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	356/65	95/73
McClellan	Oscillator	55	-39
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	533	401
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	47.8	48.9
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	24.5	24.5
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	38.7	44.4
	Bear	(3.6B)	30.2
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	13/15.	9/13.
CEOinsider	selling	59:1	53:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	75	70
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	(5.2B)
MMF flows	Change in $B	38B	28B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.28%	0.25%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

Subscribe in a reader

2013

UNHAPPY HOLIDAYS

As pointed out in earlier blogs, a more full explanation of the following Sentiment Indicators can be found at my Examiner.com column:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

 

Date>		12/21/2012	12/14/2012
Indices:	DJIA	13190	13135
	NAZ	3021	2971
	SPX	1430	1413
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		10.0/4.8	8.8/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.08	2.67
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	62	63
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		17.8	17
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		2127/1040	1390/1762
Weekly Net:		1087	-372
Cumulative:		142419	141332
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	349/75	264/85
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	219/98	168/109
McClellan	Oscillator	12	-3
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	481	360
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	46.8	45.7
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	24.5	23.4
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	46.4	43.2
	Bear	24.8	30.1
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	.16/25	17/5.
CEOinsider	selling	34:1	37:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	71	66
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	(7.2B)
MMF flows	Change in $B	(8.8B)	1.5B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly		318Boct.
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond	747/304/244	734/296/239
Assets in	Billion$$ .	Nov.	Oct.
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.28%	0.25%			Best wishes for a Happy Holiday to all readers!

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

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UNHAPPY HOLIDAYS

Christmas Sentiment

Here are the weekly Sentiment numbers -see the Examiner.com column for detailed explanations.

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date>		12/14/2012	12/7/2012
Indices:	DJIA	13135	13155
	NAZ	2971	2978
	SPX	1413	1418
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		8.8/3.3	8.5/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.67	2.58
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	63	65
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		17	15.9
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		1390/1762	1499/1641
Weekly Net:		-372	-142
Cumulative:		141332	141704
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	264/85	267/64
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	168/109	151/114
McClellan	Oscillator	-3	22
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	360	274
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	45.7	43.6
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	23.4	25.5
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	43.2	42.2
	Bear	30.1	34.6
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	17/5.	7/0.
CEOinsider	selling	37:1	52:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	66	64
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	(7.2B)
MMF flows	Change in $B	1.5B	32.3B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.25%	0.25%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

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Christmas Sentiment

IT'S BEEN A LONG, LONG TIME-

Year end is almost upon us, with markets unusually quiet awaiting some decision on 2013. In my Examiner.com column I mention a survey of 64 years of stocks at year's end. Mostly positive, sentiment indicators tend to the cautious downside for now.
Please see: 

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard 

for more commentary on the indicators below. The reader can "Subscribe" for regular updates.

Date>		12/7/2012	11/30/2012
Indices:	DJIA	13155	13025
	NAZ	2978	3010
	SPX	1418	1416
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		8.5/3.3	8.8/3.7
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.58	2.38
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	65	63
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		15.9	15.87
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		1499/1641	1973/1193
Weekly Net:		-142	780
Cumulative:		141704	141846
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	267/64	289/59
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	151/114	156/110
McClellan	Oscillator	22	51
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	274	148
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	43.6	39.3
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	25.5	27.7
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	42.2	40.9
	Bear	34.6	34.4
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	7/0.	7/(3)
CEOinsider	selling	52:1	23:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	64	64
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	(.5B)	1weeklag
MMF flows	Change in $B	32.3B	10.1B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly		318Boct.
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond		734/296/239
Assets in	Billion$$ .		Oct.
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.25%	0.27%

 

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance

Subscribe in a reader

IT'S BEEN A LONG, LONG TIME-