Huge $$ came from MMFs (money markets) at $50B; charts show that the three previous highs in withdrawals were at early stages of a Bull run, in June 21, Oct. 18, and Dec.20 of 2013 - a good sign, short term. In my Examiner.com column I shall enumerate some disturbing negative technical signs:
http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard .
Other extremes include Gold commercial sellers, despite today's and the recent rallies, at 97k.
Here are the numbers:
Date> | 2/21/2014 | 2/14/2014 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 16103 | 16154 |
NAZ | 4263 | 4244 | |
SPX | 1836 | 1838 | |
WklyVolume (Bshs). | naz/ny | 7.9/2.9 | 9.9/3.3 |
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.72 | .3.0 | |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 57 | 60 |
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 14.7 | 13.6 | |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 1948/1247 | 2489/722 | |
Weekly Net: | 701 | 1767 | |
Cumulative: | 156516nh | 155815nh | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 353/52 | 272/67 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 368/47 | 291/54 |
McClellan | Oscillator | 44 | 63 |
McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 727 | 526 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 46.5 | 41.8 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 17.2 | 17.4 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 42.2 | 40.1 | |
Bear | 22.8 | 27.3 | |
COT:SPX w/w | large/small (net)k | 5k/(25k) | 4/(19) |
COT:gold comm.hedg | long-short.000 | (97k) | (72k) |
CEOinsider | selling | 130:1 | 32:1 |
off.&bd b/s.vs. | 10% holder b/s | 200:25 | 150:40 |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 70 | 67 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | WeekDelay | 4.2B |
MMF flows | Change in $B | (49B) | 8B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | 445B | DEC. |
ETF:mthlyEqty/ | Int'l/Bond-$B | 1028/399/246 | DEC. |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.32% | 0.33% |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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