Monday, December 24, 2012

UNHAPPY HOLIDAYS

As pointed out in earlier blogs, a more full explanation of the following Sentiment Indicators can be found at my Examiner.com column:


 

Date>
12/21/2012 12/14/2012
Indices: DJIA  13190 13135
  NAZ  3021 2971

SPX  1430 1413
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   10.0/4.8 8.8/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.08 2.67
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  62 63
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 17.8 17
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2127/1040 1390/1762
Weekly Net:
1087 -372
     Cumulative: 142419 141332
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 349/75 264/85
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 219/98 168/109
McClellan  Oscillator 12 -3
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 481 360
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 46.8 45.7
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 24.5 23.4

AAII  -Bull :wed. 46.4 43.2

Bear  24.8 30.1
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k .16/25 17/5.
CEOinsider selling 34:1 37:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  71 66
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag (7.2B)
MMF flows Change in $B (8.8B) 1.5B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 
318Boct.
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond 747/304/244 734/296/239
Assets in  Billion$$ . Nov. Oct.
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.28% 0.25%    Best wishes for a Happy Holiday to all readers!

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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Sunday, December 16, 2012

Christmas Sentiment

Here are the weekly Sentiment numbers -see the Examiner.com column for detailed explanations.





Date>
12/14/2012 12/7/2012
Indices: DJIA  13135 13155
  NAZ  2971 2978

SPX  1413 1418
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   8.8/3.3 8.5/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.67 2.58
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  63 65
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 17 15.9
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1390/1762 1499/1641
Weekly Net:
-372 -142
     Cumulative: 141332 141704
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 264/85 267/64
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 168/109 151/114
McClellan  Oscillator -3 22
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 360 274
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 45.7 43.6
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 23.4 25.5

AAII  -Bull :wed. 43.2 42.2

Bear  30.1 34.6
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 17/5. 7/0.
CEOinsider selling 37:1 52:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  66 64
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag (7.2B)
MMF flows Change in $B 1.5B 32.3B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 

ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond

Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.25% 0.25%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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Sunday, December 9, 2012

IT'S BEEN A LONG, LONG TIME-

Year end is almost upon us, with markets unusually quiet awaiting some decision on 2013. In my Examiner.com column I mention a survey of 64 years of stocks at year's end. Mostly positive, sentiment indicators tend to the cautious downside for now.
Please see: 

for more commentary on the indicators below. The reader can "Subscribe" for regular updates.



Date>
12/7/2012 11/30/2012
Indices: DJIA  13155 13025
  NAZ  2978 3010

SPX  1418 1416
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   8.5/3.3 8.8/3.7
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.58 2.38
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  65 63
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 15.9 15.87
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1499/1641 1973/1193
Weekly Net:
-142 780
     Cumulative: 141704 141846
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 267/64 289/59
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 151/114 156/110
McClellan  Oscillator 22 51
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 274 148
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 43.6 39.3
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 25.5 27.7

AAII  -Bull :wed. 42.2 40.9

Bear  34.6 34.4
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 7/0. 7/(3)
CEOinsider selling 52:1 23:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  64 64
US equity -ICI Fund Flows (.5B) 1weeklag
MMF flows Change in $B 32.3B 10.1B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 
318Boct.
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond
734/296/239
Assets in  Billion$$ .
Oct.
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.25% 0.27%


 

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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Monday, December 3, 2012

CONVENTIONAL WISDOM

Last week's sentiment numbers are posted below - please see Examiner.com article for commentary:



 

Date>
11/30/2012 11/23/2012
Indices: DJIA  13025 13009
  NAZ  3010 2966

SPX  1416 1409
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   8.8/3.7 5.5/2.2
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.38 2.50
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  63 60
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 15.87 15.14
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1973/1193 2804/362
Weekly Net:
780 2442
     Cumulative: 141846 141066
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 289/59 183/77
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 156/110 72/147
McClellan  Oscillator 51 50
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 148 -62
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 39.3 37.2
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 27.7 27.7

AAII  -Bull :wed. 40.9 35.8

Bear  34.4 40.8
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 7/(3) 6/13.
CEOinsider selling 23:1 14:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  64 60
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag 1weeklag
MMF flows Change in $B 10.1B 26.6B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  318Boct.
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond 734/296/239
Assets in  Billion$$ . Oct.
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.27% 0.28%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


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