Sentiment Indicators are running a little hot lately - not quite calling for a reversal, but approaching overbought conditions: The VIX is down to 20; the AAII Bears dropped from 30 to under 20! MMF flows went negative for the first time since November. Bullish % is nearing a high level, where previous tops have occurred, although 88% is the highest high.
The herd-like media is finally all aflutter about zero interest rates penalizing prudent investors, and I have been asked to revisit my DITM covered call strategy at the upcoming SF Options Group meeting on Jan.21 at Fort Mason. After successfully testing this plan for nearly three years, giving several Bay Area talks and even writing a book on it, people are finally seeing the value of it - @10% annualized returns, WITH a Safety Net. If interested for a portion of one's assets, please visit brentleonard.com for more information.
Here are the Sentiment numbers:
Date> | 1/6/2012 | 12/30/2011 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 12359 | 12217 |
NAZ | 2674 | 2605 | |
SPX | 1277 | 1257 | |
NASD/NYSE | WklyVolume (Bshs) | 3.2/6.9 | 2.2/4.6 |
nasd/nyse | Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.16 | 2.10 |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 63 | 67 |
Barron's | VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 20.6 | 23.4 |
Advance/Dec-NYSE | 2213/947 | 1218/1896 | |
Weekly Net: | 1266 | -678 | |
Cumulative: | 126533 | 125267 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 305/27 | 295/72 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 118/81 | 92/161 |
McClellan | Oscillator | 29 | 24 |
McClellan Sum | .+750/-1000 | 395 | 240 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 49.5 | 50.5 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 30.5 | 29.5 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 48.9 | 40.6 | |
Bear | 17.2 | 30.8 | |
COT:Change w/w | large/small (net)k | 12/5. | 7/7. |
CEOinsider | selling | 30:1 | 18:1 |
BalticDryIndex | GlobalEcon | 1426 | 1888 |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 68 | ..63buy |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | 1 wk lag | (4B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | (1.9B) | 2.6B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly OCT. | 269B | |
ETF:Eqty/Int'l/Bond | million$$ OCT. | 615/262/178 | |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.27% | 0.25% | |
Euro futures | 1 yr.offset-CommHedg | 5.13M | 5.04M |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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