Fortunately, option expiration and the SFOG meetup is the following Saturday (day after the 3rd Friday of the month), so no conflict there.
This new year started with some cautious action, both in Price and Sentiment: Bullish % is 1 point off a record high at 87; AAII Bulls and Bears are complacent at 55% and 18%. Mutual Fund flows turned to inflows for the second week in a row, after a multi-month hiatus of selling.
Although Advance/Declines were about even, New Highs to Lows were huge in both the NYSE and Nasdaq. Looking ahead to the January Barometer, it might be wise to hedge after the large rally of 2010, although pre-election years are usually very good overall - better than the other 3 combined in the 4 year cycle.
Here are the numbers:
MktSentiment | Last Week | Prev. Week | 5 Yr HI | 5 Yr LOW |
DJIA: | 11674 | 11577 | 14093 | 6626 |
Nasdaq: | 2703 | 2652 | 2805 | 1114 |
S&P 500: | 1271 | 1257 | 1561 | 683 |
CBOE Eq. put/call: | 46 | 58 | 96-10/08 | 46-1/03 |
VIX: | 17.1 | 17.8 | 90 | 8.8 |
McClellan Osc: | (7) | 14 | 108 | (123) |
McClellan Sum: | 597 | 538 | 1568 | (1514) |
Newsletter Surveys | ||||
InvestorsIntel.Bull: | 54.5 | 55.6 | 63 | 22.21 |
InvestorsIntel.Bear: | 20.5 | 20.0 | 54.4 | 16 |
AAII Bull: | 55.9 | 51.6 | n/a | n/a |
AAII Bear: | 18.3 | 20.1 | n/a | n/a |
US Equity-1 week lag | n/a | .5B | ||
Money Market Flows | (12.1B) | 22.4B | ||
Baltic Dry Index: | 1544 | 1999 | 11700 | 663 |
Bullish %: | 87 | 85 | 88 | 2 |
Insider Corporate Sellers: | 30:1 | 14:1 | 108:1 | 2.4:1 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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