Another quite accurate Indicator - the McClellan Oscillator- also moved down to a negative 44 last week, nearing my -50 benchmark; and the AAII Bull/Bear survey went to extreme with a 27.9 to 54.7 ratio displaying very few Bulls in their ranks. Also notable this week is the addition of the Rydex Nova to Ursa (bear) fund ratio, newly re-added to the mix, mainly because it hit a new low of 0.62 (fewer Bulls to Bears ).
In addition, the U. of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment dipped from 70.8% to 64.6%.
Here are the recent numbers:
MktSentiment. 7/10/2009 Prev. Week.....5Yr.HI......LOW
DJIA ………. 8146………8280.………..14093............6626
Nasdaq………. 1756………1796…………2810.............1114
S&P500…….. 879…………896………….1561………..683
CBOE Eq. put/call …80……..75….…96-10/08….....46-1/03
VIX ………. 29.0……….. 27.9…….…….90…….….8.8
McClellan Osc…-44…….-19…………..108……..(-100) McClelSum……..368…………612…….…....1568-....-1514
Newsletter Surveys:
Inv.Intel -Bull:…42.7………..41.4………….…63 ……...22.2l
Bear:………… 30.3……….29.9…………… 54.4.......16-
AAII-Bull/Bear ……27.9/54.7….37.8/44.6…….…..n/a
Nova/Ursa MF……… 0.62………0.76…………….2.2……..0.62
Baltic Dry Index ……2985……..3520………….11700………663
Bullish%- …….…47………….57………….…88…….....2
*Insider corp sellers.13:1…………7:1……………108:1…….2.4:1
Mutual Fund Inflows .. (1.3B)…..(.3B)…
ETF InflowsL……… .7B……..(3.2B)…
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