Monday, July 20, 2009

INSIDE INSIGHTS:

The most noticable indicator change this week after a huge rally was the Insider Selling ratio to buyers, nearly quadrupling! Although the Fall semester of college is about to resume, it's unlikely that it is the principle reason, although it is an intermediate rather than shorter term signal. Similarly, the McClellan Oscillator moved from an extreme Buy signal of -44 to a +49 Sell.
Still Bullish is the Bullish per cent, giving its usual buy signal of 3 boxes (2-pts. each, for 6% material move) to 55, albeit mid-range. The AAII investor survey is also Bearish ON the market (Bullish FOR it), at 28/48.
Here are last week's stats:

MktSentiment. 7/17/2009 Prev. Week.....5Yr.HI......LOW

DJIA ………. 8743………8146.………..14093............6626

Nasdaq………. 1886………1756…………2810.............1114

S&P500…….. 940…………879………….1561………..683

CBOE Eq. put/call …63…………..80……..…96-10/08….....46-1/03

VIX ………. 24.3………..29.0…….…….90…….….8.8

McClellan Osc………49…………-44…………..108……..(-100) McClelSum…………..534……….368………..…....1568-....-1514

Newsletter Surveys:

Inv.Intel -Bull:…..…35.6……….42.7………….…63 ……...22.2l

Bear:………… 35.6………30.3…………… 54.4.......16-

AAII-Bull/Bear ……28.7/47.1….27.9/54.7…….…..n/a

Nova/Ursa MF………0.56nl…… 0.62…………….2.2……..0.56

Baltic Dry Index ……3542………2985………….11700………663

Bullish%- …….…55buy………47………….…88…….....2

*Insider corp sellers. 48:1………..13:1……………108:1…….2.4:1

Mutual Fund Inflows .. (0.7B)…..(1.3B)…

ETF InflowsL……… (0.4B)…….7B

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