Bull/Bear ratios still very strong on the Bull side, as investors pour $$ into ETFs now, mostly SPY.
Great interview of Burton Malkiel on this by Consuela Mack - Wealthtrack (PBS or .com).
Question is - which ends first?: Fed propping up the markets or Index fund Inflows, propping up weak as well as strong stocks in each Index.
Here are last week's numbers:
Date | 7/7/2017 | 6/30/2017 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 21414 | 21349 |
NAZ | 6153 | 6140 | |
SPX | 2425 | 2423 | |
WklyVolume (Bshs). | naz/ny…. | 6.6/3.0* | 10.7/4.4 |
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.2 | 2.43 | |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 63 | 66 |
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 11.2 | 11.2 | |
DeltaMSI-50% | MAC crossover | 63.3 | 61.6 |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 1418/1630 | 1688/1404 | |
Weekly Net: | -212 | 284 | |
Cumulative: | 177925 | 178137 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low… | 229/96 | 297/57 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 164/107 | 314/104 |
McClellan | Oscillator | -11 | 0 |
McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 560 | 584 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull | 52.5 | 54.9 |
Surveys-Tues | Bear:-5yrs | 18.8 | 18.6 |
Wed. | AAII -Bull | 29.6 | 29.7 |
Bear | 29.9 | 26.9 | |
US$-WSJ | 96 | 95.7 | |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 73 | 72 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | weeklate | (4.4B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | 4.7B | 4.2B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | 540 | |
10-yr Tsy yield | hi= stock buying | 2.39 | 2.5 |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 1.4 | 1.38 | |
TIP (ETF) | Inflation | 112.4 | 113.4 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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