Monday, January 28, 2013

DOOM AND GLOOM

Although not quite at record extremes, many Indicators below are starting to get frothy, as investors are switching from bonds to stocks. More commentary can be found at the Examiner link below:




Date>
1/25/2013 1/18/2013
Indices: DJIA  13895 13649
NAZ  3149 3134

SPX  1502 1485
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE 7.3/2.7 9.0/3.6
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.70 2.50
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  66 61
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 12.9 12.4
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2181/957 2197/968
Weekly Net:
1224 1229
     Cumulative: 146829 145605
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 794/32 660/18
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 432/32 369/35
McClellan  Oscillator 35 42
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 1046 890
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 53.2 53.2
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 22.3 22.3

AAII  -Bull :wed. 52.3 43.9

Bear  24.3 27.3
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 12/35. 14/17.
CEOinsider selling 47:1 22:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  81 78
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag 5.0B
MMF flows Change in $B (4.9B) (15.2B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 
327Bnov.
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond
747/304/244
Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.29% 0.26%


BELOW ARE THE MULTI-YEAR HIGHS AND LOWS FOR THE INDICATORS:


Date> DECADE HI LOW
Indices: DJIA  14093 6626
NAZ  2937 1114

SPX  1561 683
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 3.15 1.59
nasd/nyse
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  104.11/08 42
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 90 8.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE..
Weekly Net:
     Cumulative: 143458 71464
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 950 18
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l
McClellan  Oscillator Jan.09:108 May.'12:(110)
McClellan Sum .+750/-1000 1568-6/03 (1514).
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 62.9-12/04 22.2-10/08
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 54.4-10/08 15.6

AAII  -Bull :wed. (12/10)63.3

Bear  70.3(3/09) 16.4
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k
CEOinsider selling 235:1 .2.1
3-box rev Bullish%-  88 2
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 381B(7/07)

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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Monday, January 21, 2013

Oh Say Can U. C.?


Despite several reasons for a renewed Bull market - Asian resurgence from Japan and China economies, low rates, housing and low oil prices, valuations moving dollars from bonds to stocks- near term, the caution lights are on. More commentary at my Examiner.com:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

(For automatic alerts, please click on "Subscribe" at the top of the column)

Here are the numbers:

Date>
1/18/2013 1/11/2013
Indices: DJIA  13649 13488
  NAZ  3134 3125

SPX  1485 1472
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   9.0/3.6 8.6/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.50 2.61
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  61 67
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 12.4 13.4
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2197/968 1937/1208
Weekly Net:
1229 729
     Cumulative: 145605 144376
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 660/18 578/16
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 369/35 343/34
McClellan  Oscillator 42 40
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 890 735
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 53.2 51.1
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 22.3 23.4

AAII  -Bull :wed. 43.9 46.4

Bear  27.3 26.9
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 14/17. 6/23.
CEOinsider selling 22:1 130:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  78 77
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag 8.0B
MMF flows Change in $B (15.2B) 12B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  327Bnov.
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond 747/304/244
Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.26% 0.26%



With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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Sunday, January 13, 2013

DJIA Vu

This week's Sentiment Indicators include some pretty wild extremes, considering the VIX is only at 13. For a commentary of these statistics, please click on:





Date:
1/11/2013 1/4/2013
Indices: DJIA  13488 13435
NAZ  3125 3101

SPX  1472 1466
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE 8.6/3.3 7.1/2.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.61 2.45
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  67 58
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 13.4 13.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1937/1208 3011/188
Weekly Net:
729 2823
     Cumulative: 144376 143647
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 578/16 589/41
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 343/34 356/65
McClellan  Oscillator 40 55
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 735 533
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 51.1 47.8
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 23.4 24.5

AAII  -Bull :wed. 46.4 38.7

Bear  26.9 (3.6B)
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 6/23. 13/15.
CEOinsider selling 130:1 59:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  77 75
US equity -ICI Fund Flows (8.3B) 1weeklag
MMF flows Change in $B 12B 38B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 

ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond

Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.26% 0.28%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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Sunday, January 6, 2013

2013

The first week of 2013 sees some toppiness in the Sentiment Indicators - if government will keep out of it! Please click on the Examiner.com link for more details:




Date:
1/4/2013 12/28/2012
Indices: DJIA  13435 12938
NAZ  3101 2960

SPX  1466 1402
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE 7.1/2.9 4.1/1.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.45 2.16
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  58 68
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 13.8 22.7
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 3011/188 778/2373
Weekly Net:
2823 -1595
     Cumulative: 143647 140824
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 589/41 152/73
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 356/65 95/73
McClellan  Oscillator 55 -39
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 533 401
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 47.8 48.9
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 24.5 24.5

AAII  -Bull :wed. 38.7 44.4

Bear  (3.6B) 30.2
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 13/15. 9/13.
CEOinsider selling 59:1 53:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  75 70
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag (5.2B)
MMF flows Change in $B 38B 28B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 

ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond

Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.28% 0.25%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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