Last week I received my monthly Schwab Research letter in which their top guru - Randy Frederick espoused my exact strategy, almost word for word: A or B rated stocks, 3% dividend sold in a Buy/Write about a week before ex-Dividend date, 5-6 months out to "capture" both the option premium and dividend (s).
That said, the current market environment is ideal for that strategy: stock prices are getting cheaper, making the dividend % higher, and call volatility (price) that is sold in a buy/write also higher.
I have a sister blog: http://ditmcalls.blogspot.com, with an extensive track record of actual trades ("older posts), and current trades.
And now to Sentiment: Very little has changed in the Indicators, although slight increases occurred in the McClellan Oscillator (down to -29); margin debt is exceptionally high, at $321B (the high of $381B was in July of '07). Insider selling doubled to 44:1 over buying.
Nothing seems to indicate falling off a cliff - 2-year Tsy yield, VIX, inverted AAII Bull/Bear ratio.
MktSentiment | Last Week | Prev. Week | 5 Yr HI | 5 Yr LOW |
DJIA: | 12151 | 12441 | 14093 | 6626 |
Nasdaq: | 2732 | 2796 | 2861 | 1114 |
S&P 500: | 1300 | 1331 | 1561 | 683 |
CBOE Eq. put/call: | 69 | 58 | 96-10/08 | 46-1/03 |
VIX: | 18.0 | 16.0 | 90 | 8.8 |
McClellan Osc: | (29) | 16 | 108 | (123) |
McClellan Sum: | 458 | 458 | 1568 | (1514) |
Newsletter Surveys | ||||
InvestorsIntel.Bull: | n/a | n/a | 63 | 22.21 |
InvestorsIntel.Bear: | n/a | n/a | 54.4 | 16 |
AAII Bull: | 30.2 | 25.6 | n/a | n/a |
AAII Bear: | 33.4 | 41.4 | n/a | n/a |
US Equity-1 week lag | n/a | (2.4B) | ||
Money Market Flows | (21.9B) | 24B | ||
Baltic Dry Index: | 1489 | 1467 | 11700 | 663 |
Bullish %: | 72 | 74 | 89 | 2 |
Insider Corporate Sellers: | 44:1 | 23:1 | 235:1 | 2.4:1 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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