Today's large drop only validates the Sentiment signals blaring out since the first of the year (see previous blogs). We have yet to break to a new high greater than February's and remain in a Trading Range.
Notable extremes include the VIX, at 15, but also the CBOE put/call ratio, high, at 64. The Investors' Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio remains wide (complacent), with the Bullish % toppy at 80%.
MktSentiment | Last Week | Prev. Week | 5 Yr HI | 5 Yr LOW |
DJIA: | 12341 | 12380 | 14093 | 6626 |
Nasdaq: | 2764 | 2780 | 2861 | 1114 |
S&P 500: | 1319 | 1328 | 1561 | 683 |
CBOE Eq. put/call: | 64 | 57 | 96-10/08 | 46-1/03 |
VIX: | 15.3 | 17.9 | 90 | 8.8 |
McClellan Osc: | (16) | (5) | 108 | (123) |
McClellan Sum: | 556 | 736 | 1568 | (1514) |
Newsletter Surveys | ||||
InvestorsIntel.Bull: | 55.4 | 57.3 | 63 | 22.21 |
InvestorsIntel.Bear: | 16.3 | 15.7 | 54.4 | 16 |
AAII Bull: | 42.2 | 43.6 | n/a | n/a |
AAII Bear: | 31.0 | 28.8 | n/a | n/a |
US Equity-1 week lag | n/a | (.3B) | ||
Money Market Flows | 2.3B | 8.3B | ||
Baltic Dry Index: | 1296 | 1430 | 11700 | 663 |
Bullish %: | 80 | 82 | 89 | 2 |
Insider Corporate Sellers: | 22:1 | 45:1 | 198:1 | 2.4:1 |
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