Thanks to Labor Day and Rosh Hashana, trading was weak, but mostly positive.
My cumulative A/D went to another new high, as did NYSE new highs - much of which are bond-like securities (Pfds, CEFs, ETFs); but the Nasdaq new hi's/lo's inverted positive.
Newsletter surveys went Bearish FOR the market, especially the AAII ratio.
And CEO Insider Selling quadrupled to 21:1, but exchanges Short Interest shot up @5%.
The BDI, or Baltic Dry Index, a proxy for the global economy, hit a 3-month high, as did the WIP, the World Inflation Index.
Finally, large numbers of $$ flowed out of domestic equity mutual funds and into MMFs.
After next week I shall be vacationing with family in SoCal, so the blog will be temporarily interrupted.
When returning, I have been invited to speak to the Silicon Valley Option Group on Oct.13, at the San Jose Embassy Suites, and also a Marin investor group.
Topic will be my DITM, or Deep-In-The-Money option strategy which has performed very well in this economy - I shall also be starting a new blog citing the actual trading results since its inception in 2009: very close to the historic 100-year stock market average of 10%, when markets are now still at 1998 levels!
Here are a couple of recent results with opening date, Symbol and Total Net Return :
7/14/2010 PFE 19.07%
10/29/09 DD 8.70%
2/26/10 MRK 11.4%
And here are the Sentiment Indicators:
MktSentiment | Last Week | Prev. Week | 5 Yr HI | 5 Yr LOW |
DJIA: | 10462 | 10447 | 14093 | 6626 |
Nasdaq: | 2242 | 2133 | 2805 | 1114 |
S&P 500: | 1109 | 1104 | 1561 | 683 |
CBOE Eq. put/call: | 61 | 58 | 96-10/08 | 46-1/03 |
VIX: | 22.0 | 21.3 | 90 | 8.8 |
McClellan Osc: | 43 | 48 | 108 | (123) |
McClellan Sum: | 502 | 376 | 1568 | (1514) |
Newsletter Surveys | ||||
InvestorsIntel.Bull: | 33.3 | 29.4 | 63 | 22.21 |
InvestorsIntel.Bear: | 32.2 | 37.7 | 54.4 | 16 |
AAII Bull: | 43.9 | 30.8 | n/a | n/a |
AAII Bear: | 31.6 | 42.2 | n/a | n/a |
Nova/Ursa Mutual Funds: | n/a | n/a | 2.2 | 0.56 |
US Equity-1 week lag | n/a | (7.6B) | ||
Money Market Flows | 10.6B | (6.2B) | ||
ETF equity:Monthly Totals | n/a | n/a | n/a | |
Baltic Dry Index: | 2995 | 2835 | 11700 | 663 |
Bullish %: | 52 | 49 | 88 | 2 |
Insider Corporate Sellers: | 21:1 | 5:1 | 108:1 | 2.4:1 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
Subscribe in a reader
No comments:
Post a Comment