Stephen Leuthold, a very savvy market veteran, says stocks are at the best valuation in his 45 years, calling for 1100 S&P500 this year. And technician Ned Davis says not to worry about going away in May.
Although Volume has finally picked up recently, it's nowhere near normal, considering the low prices that the Blue Chips are selling at.
Breadth-wise, both the McClellan Oscillator and Bullish Per Cent are near the top of their ranges, not surprising following the huge rally abetted by shortcovering and ETFs.
Here are the numbers:
MktSentiment. 4/17/2009 Prev. Week.....5Yr.HI......LOW
DJIA ………. 8131……….8083.………..14093............6626
Nasdaq………. 1673………1652…………2810.............1114
S&P500…….. 869………..856………….1561………..683
CBOE Eq. put/call ……57……….64……..…96-10/08….....46-1/03
VIX ………. 33.9…….36.5…….…….79..-10/08bull….10.0-7/05 bear
McClellan Osc………74………….71……………..108-1/09 bear...(-100)-10/08bull
McClelSum……….…595………..295……..…....1568-6/03.......-1514-10/08
Newsletter Surveys:
Inv.Intel -Bull:…..…43.2………..36……….…63 (12/04bear)...22.2-10/08bull
Bear:………… 34.1………37.1…………… 54.4.10/08.......16-6/03
AAII-Bull/Bear ……44.1/35.9…..35.7/44.3….…..18.9/70.3 n/a
Market Vane - T-Bond..64………..63……………..91………….59
Baltic Dry Index ……1682……..1478…………11700…………………663
Bullish%- …….…60………….53………….…88 -2/04bear.....2-10/08bull
*Insider corp sellers. 108:1……..16:1…. ………..108………….2.4:1 (11/08)
Mutual Fund Inflows .5B………….4B
ETF InflowsL……… (2.6B)… .4B
www.mktsentiment.blogspot.com is a free weekly display of important contrary opinion statistics, with the disclosure that eventual fees may be paid to the author from readers clicking on the website and/or the small ad at the top of the column.
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