After a 100-pt. SPX rally in December, despite the money thrown at ubiquitous financial problems, it should be getting tired even in a year-end rally.
Although the newsletter surveys, through gloomy Wednesday, are tremendously bullish for the market, the McClellan Oscillator at 64 calls for overbought selling, and the Baltic Dry Index of global shipping hits another new low causing huge discount cuts accross Europe. Public to NY Specialist shorting hit another new low last week at 13:1.
Here are the stats:
MktSentiment. 12/05/08 Prev. Week.....5Yr.HI......LOW
DJIA ………. 8635…….. 8829………..14093............7286
Nasdaq………. 1509…..…1535…………2810.............1114
S&P500…….. 876……….896………….1561………..776
CBOE Eq. put/call …… 75………….63………..…96-10/08….....46-1/03
VIX ………. 60…………55…….…….79..-10/08bull….10.0-7/05 bear
McClellan Osc………64…………….73……………..91 -5 /04 bear...(-100)-10/08bull
McClelSum……….…-1089……….-1362……..…....1568-6/03.......-1514-10/08
Newsletter Surveys:
Inv.Intel -Bull:…..…23.1…………..31.3……….…63 (12/04bear)......22.2-10/08bull
Bear:………… 49.5………….44.1…..………… 54.4.10/08.......16-6/03
Baltic Dry Index ……663nl…….715…………………………………................663
AAII-Bull/Bear ………31.3/44.9….24.4/57.1…....……..n/a n/a
Public/NYSE Spec.-… 13.0nl……… 13.7nl… …….……22-10/08…………13.0
Bullish%- …….…31………….…8………….…88 -2/04bear.....2-10/08bull
*Insider corporate sellers. 4.0…… 2.4:1nl…. ………..97………….2.4:1 (11/08)
Mutual Fund Inflows (2.5B)……….(7.1B)
ETF InflowsL……….2.8B………….4.5B……
Money Market Inflows: 28B………...38B… … ………144B
www.mktsentiment.blogspot.com is a free weekly display of important contrary opinion statistics, with the disclosure that eventual fees may be paid to the author from readers clicking on the website and/or the small ad at the top of the column.
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
Subscribe in a reader
No comments:
Post a Comment