Monday, November 21, 2016

1980 (Reagan) LIKE 2017 (Trump)?

Not exactly, says Barron's
Market Value (CAP) to GDP: 40%    196%
Bond Yields 14%   2%
Debt to GDP  135%    251%
Protectionism: Tear Down that Wall   Build a Wall

With Bond yields jumping (at least short term) $$ are coming out of Bond Funds into stocks. Sentiment Indicators regression into quietude - VIX, newsletters, stocks on BUY signals. and Breadth back positive during the rally,
Here are the numbers:
Date   11/18/2016 11/11/2016
Indices: DJIA  18868 18847
  NAZ  5321 5237
SPX  2181 2164
WklyVolume (Bshs). naz/ny…. 10.4/4.9 11.6/5.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.12 1.97
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  60 61
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 12.9 14.2
DeltaMSI-50% MAC crossover 58% 39%
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1982/1149 1781/1355
Weekly Net: 833 426
     Cumulative: 169180 168347
Weekly  NYSE hi/low… 450/355 394/331
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 680/135 530/271
McClellan  Oscillator 22 4
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 -182 -299
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull 51 Nov.8-42.9
Surveys-Tues Bear:-5yrs 23.5 25.7
Wed. AAII  -Bull  46.7 Nov.9-38
Bear  26.6 29.3
US$-WSJ 101.3 99
3-box rev Bullish%-  61 57
US equity -ICI Fund Flows WeekLate (6.3B)
MMF flows Change in $B 3.3B 5.9B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 
10-yr Tsy yield hi= stock buying 2.36% 2.15%
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 1.07% 0.92%
TIP (ETF) Inflation 112.2 114.3



With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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