Although that trend looks appealing right now, many sage investors- Gundlach, Icahn, Soros, Druckenmiller, and now even Goldman Sachs- are calling for at least a correction @ 10%.
Last week's post-holiday rally pushed my cumulative Advance/Decline number to a record high (although the McClellan Summation is not there); the NYSE new highs to lows were @10:1;
mutual fund cash pulled a large reversal to the outflow side.
Gold and Silver have rallied a lot this year, and could benefit more from NIRP (negative interest rates) after a possible correction.
Here are the numbers:
Date> | 7/8/2016 | 7/1/2016 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 18146 | 17949 |
NAZ | 4956 | 4862 | |
SPX | 2129 | 2102 | |
WklyVolume (Bshs). | naz/ny…. | 7.1/3.8 * | 10.6/5.7 |
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 1.87 | 1.86 | |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 64 | 64 |
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 13.2 | 14.8 | |
DeltaMSI-50% | MAC crossover | 55% | 52% |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 2073/1067 | 2504/653 | |
Weekly Net: | 1006 | 1851 | |
Cumulative: | 169671nh | 168665 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low… | 564/62 | 587/159 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 242/116 | 205/277 |
McClellan | Oscillator | 49 | 46 |
McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 914 | 815 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull | 47.1 | 41.6 |
Surveys-Tues | Bear:-5yrs | 24.5 | 23.8 |
Wed. | AAII -Bull | 31.1 | 28.9 |
Bear | 26.7 | 33.4 | |
US$-WSJ | 96.3 | 95.6 | |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 59 | 52 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | WeekLate | (7.0B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | (17.4B) | 14.9B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | 451B | |
10-yr Tsy yield | hi= stock buying | 1.36% | 1.44% |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.60% | 0.60% | |
TIP (ETF) | Inflation | 117.5 | 116.8 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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