It was great to see old friends again, after my recoop time from knee replacements, and even got an invite to give my DITM (covered call) talk to the Silicon Valley Option Group sometime this summer. Although I discovered this income strategy (in a zero interest rate world) back in 2009, it seems to me more timely now, as the Bull market wears down, and rates seem to be destined to stay low ( even negative??).
Last week's Sentiment Indicators were very similar to the previous week's dramatic one, with the McClellan Summation (of the weekly Oscillator) again breaching the 1,000 mark - Positive Advances/Declines. If breadth continues strong it can (eventually) break up through the indices all-time highs. DJIA 18,351 (today 17.968); S&P 500 2,134 (today 2089).
Here are today's numbers:
Date> | 2016 | 4/15/2016 | 4/8/2016 |
Indices: | DJIA | 17897 | 17576 |
NAZ | 4938 | 4850 | |
SPX | 2080 | 2047 | |
WklyVolume (Bshs). | naz/ny…. | 8.5/4.8 | 8.6/4.5 |
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 1.77 | 1.97 | |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 65 | 68 |
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 13.6 | 15.4 | |
DeltaMSI-50% | MAC crossover | n/a | 74% |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 2503/664 | 1225/1958 | |
Weekly Net: | 1839 | -733 | |
Cumulative: | 165082 | 163243 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low… | 276/20 | 277/47 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 140/74 | 126/91 |
McClellan | Oscillator | 16 | -17 |
McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 1020 | 940 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull | 41.2 | 45.4 |
Surveys-Tues | Bear:-5yrs | 27.8 | 27.8 |
Wed. | AAII -Bull | 27.9 | 32.2 |
Bear | 24.9 | 21.5 | |
US$-WSJ | 94.7 | 94.2 | |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 77 | 76 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | weekLate | (5.3B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | (7.7B) | (26.7B) |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | ||
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.74% | 0.70% | |
TIP (ETF) | Inflation | 114.3 | 116 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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