Most remarkable of the Sentiment Indicators last week were: New Highs in the DJIA, SPX, Utils and Transports - and the NAS is nearing its record of the 2000 Bubble of 5049. There seems to be a conflict of the Bull/Bear views - the CBOE is high (fear) in the 60s, while complacency reigns in the Surveys - AAII and Inv. Intell., which come out mid-week.
Most remarkable was the Sector line of Insider Selling AND Buying last week - both huge, but the ratio was down to 24 to 1 Sellers (see below). The monthly stats of ETF flows finally came out for Sept. - down in all three categories.
Here are the numbers:
Date> | 11/7/2014 | 10/31/2014 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 17573 | 17390 |
NAZ | 4632 | 4630 | |
SPX | 2031 | 2018 | |
WklyVolume (Bshs). | naz/ny | 9.7/3.9 | 10.0/4.2 |
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.49 | 2.38 | |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 63 | 62 |
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 13.1 | 14 | |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 1798/1451 | 2440/813 | |
Weekly Net: | 347 | 1627 | |
Cumulative: | 163761 | 163414 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 540/172 | 441/156 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 337/192 | 332/182 |
McClellan | Oscillator | 53 | 84 |
McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 275 | -5 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 54.6 | 47 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 15.1 | 16.3 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 52.7 | 49.4 | |
Bear | 15.1 | 21.1 | |
COT:SPX w/w | large/small (net)k | 5k/3k | (4k)/(6k) |
COT:gold comm.hedg | long-short.000 | (55k) | (99k) |
CEOinsider | selling | 24:1 | 29:1 |
off.&bd b/s.vs. | 10% holder b/s | 160:45 | 160:25 |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 65 | 60 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | WeekDelay | 1.1B |
MMF flows | Change in $B | 5.9B | 6.1B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | 464B | |
ETF:mthlyEqty/ | Int'l/Bond-$B | 1120/432/276 | |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.50% | 0.49% |
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