Monday, April 21, 2014

Hallelujah! It Has Risen

Sector totals of Insider Selling dropped precipitously to only 11 to 1 Sellers (from 68:1 the week prior); while the newly found records of "smart" Insiders - Board members, Officers dropped to 150 sales, while 10% share holders  reversed to more Buyers than Sellers! Per my Sentiment blog: http://mktsentiment.blogspot.com, MMFs (Money Markets) are shedding dollars again and Equity funds are gradually picking up, per ICI. The AAII Bears inverted over the Bulls again - a Bullish contrarian sign

- although the Investors Intell. - Wire house advisory letters- were still complacent. In my studies of the two for my CMT designation on Sentiment, I found the AAII more accurate- from a Contrary point of view.  

Here are the numbers:

Date> 4/18/2014 4/11/2014
Indices: DJIA  16408 16026
  NAZ  4062 3999
SPX  1864 1815
WklyVolume (Bshs). naz/ny 8.0/3.0 11.3/3.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish **2.66 2.9
Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  57 61
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 13.4 17
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2394/812 975/2241
Weekly Net: 1582 -1266
     Cumulative: 158696 157114
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 190/86 134/78
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 94/185 79/157
McClellan  Oscillator 14 -48
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 696 717
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 50.5 54.6
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 20.6 18.6
AAII  -Bull :wed. 27.2 28.5
Bear  34.3 34.1
COT:SPX w/w large/small (net)k 8k/18k 12k/20k
COT:gold  comm.hedg long-short.000 (88k) (102k)
CEOinsider selling 11:1 68:1?
off.&bd b/s.vs. 10% holder b/s 150:6/15* 180:15
3-box rev Bullish%-  66 66
US equity -ICI Fund Flows WeekDelay 2.1B
MMF flows Change in $B (35.0B) (17.7B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  FEB. 466B
ETF:mthlyEqty/ Int'l/Bond-$B FEB. 1035/397/266
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.40% 0.36%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


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