Monday, May 27, 2013

GOING GREEN

Green is a popular color these days (Go Ducks!), whether it is to save the planet - which appears to be too late, judging from tornadoes, extreme rain and snow in summertime - or whether it is the color of stocks going up, versus Red going down. We saw a little Red last week resulting in MMFs (money markets) gaining $20B in assets, unlike the week before where it lost a mere $1B.

Declining stocks posted a rara avis with over one thousand more declining on the NYSE than advancing - this sent the McClellan Oscillator down near the BUY area at minus 41, although its cumulative Summation is still above the healthy level of +1,000.

Bull/Bear newsletter surveys showed increasing complacency - Investors' Intelligence at a high 55% Bulls, and the AAII Bulls jumping from 38 to 49% week/week. Bears continue to hibernate. Both levels of Stocks on a Buy signal (Bullish %), and new highs remain strong.

 Money flowing into ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) continues to increase - even into Bonds. What appears dangerous is the recent reporting of Margin Interest: $384B- a new record, by my reckoning. Maybe it's "Different This Time" due to zero interest rates!

 
Date>
5/24/2013 5/17/2013
Indices: DJIA  15303 15354
  NAZ  3459 3498

SPX  1649 1667
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   8.9/3.6 9.0/3.6
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.47 2.50
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  62 53
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 14.0 12.5
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1089/2077 1865/1332
Weekly Net:
-988 533
     Cumulative: 153264 154252
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 851/81 914/74
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 519/59 582/63
McClellan  Oscillator -41 16
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 1117 1192
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 55.2 54.2
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 18.8 19.8

AAII  -Bull :wed. 49 38.5

Bear  21.6 29.3
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 3/20 5/17
CEOinsider selling 50:1 57:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  89 89nh
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag .1B
MMF flows Change in $B 19.5B (1B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly  384nh
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond 854/355/258
Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.25% 0.25%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark

Monday, May 20, 2013

FLAT EARTH SOCIETY

Never in recent history has there been such a unanimous consensus that the stock market MUST move higher,  juxtaposed with extreme levels of Sentiment Indicators. Please see the Examiner.com column for more details:
http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Here are last week's numbers:

 
Date>
5/17/2013 5/10/2013
Indices: DJIA  15354 15118
  NAZ  3498 3436

SPX  1667 1633
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   9.0/3.6 8.4/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.50 2.55
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  53 60
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 12.5 12.6
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 1865/1332 2237/941
Weekly Net:
533 1296
     Cumulative: 154252 153719
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 914/74 925/49
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 582/63 504/71
McClellan  Oscillator 16 20
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 1192 1100
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 54.2 52.1
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 19.8 19.8

AAII  -Bull :wed. 38.5 40.7

Bear  29.3 27.4
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 5/17 3/22
CEOinsider selling 57:1 110:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  89nh 86
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag .4B
MMF flows Change in $B (1B) 19.5B
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 

ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond

Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.25% 0.23%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark

Thursday, May 16, 2013

BETTER LATE...

After an exhausting vacation, here are the Sentiment results from last week:


Date>
5/10/2013 5/3/2013
Indices: DJIA  15118 14973
  NAZ  3436 3378

SPX  1633 1614
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   8.4/3.3 8.8/3.6
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.55 2.44
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  60 61
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 12.6 12.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2237/941 2398/785
Weekly Net:
1296 1613
     Cumulative: 153719 152423
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 925/49 789/54
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 504/71 450/84
McClellan  Oscillator 20 44
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 1100 889
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 52.1 47.9
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 19.8 18.8

AAII  -Bull :wed. 40.7 31

Bear  27.4 35.9
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 3/22 2/21
CEOinsider selling 110:1 63:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  86 81
US equity -ICI Fund Flows .4B 1weeklag
MMF flows Change in $B 19.5B (30B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 

ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond

Assets in  Billion$$ .

2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.23% 0.22%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark

Saturday, May 4, 2013

RECORDS ABOUND

Last week's Sentiment Readings are pretty much like the prior one : sugar-high QE 4-ever keeps stocks strong. Advance/Declines are even stronger, with only two more declines , net advances up a mere 21. The A/D "monitor" , the McClellan Summation is pushing  1,000.

Insider Selling was high - especially Consumer Services - 63:1 over Buyers, up from 19:1 last week.

Here are the numbers:


Date>
5/3/2013 4/26/2013
Indices: DJIA  14973 14712
  NAZ  3378 3279

SPX  1614 1582
WklyVolume (Bshs).

NASD/NYSE   8.8/3.6 8.6/3.4
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish 2.44 2.53
nasd/nyse


Sentiment: put/call-CBOE  61 63
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 12.8 13.6
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. 2398/785 2375/783
Weekly Net:
1613 1592
     Cumulative: 152423 150810
Weekly  NYSE hi/low 789/54 570/75
New Hi's/Low's Nasdaq h/l 450/84 330/105
McClellan  Oscillator 44 18
McClellanSum .+750/-1000 889 724
Newsletter Inv.Intel -Bull:tues 47.9 44.3
Surveys Bear:-5yrs 18.8 19.6

AAII  -Bull :wed. 31 28.3

Bear  35.9 38.8
COT:Change w/w large/small (net)k 2/21 4/13
CEOinsider selling 63:1 19:1
3-box rev Bullish%-  81 77
US equity -ICI Fund Flows 1weeklag (.6B)
MMF flows Change in $B (30B) (1.9B)
MargDebt- top (300M) monthly 
380B
ETF:Eqty/ Int'l/Bond
704/286/202
Assets in  Billion$$ .
 
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation 0.22% 0.22%

With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance


Subscribe in a reader


Share/Save/Bookmark