It is obviously hard to tell what markets will do based on the results - an Obama victory would keep much of the Fiscal Cliff alive - PPACA, benefits, (Debt), etc., while a Romney victory would see the Bernanke put expire worthless, ending the sugar high equities markets.
Because of the two-day hiatus Volume was low, but still a speculative 2.29:1 ratio of NASD to NYSE; the CBOE equity put/call ratio lessened a bit, but still high (Bullish). Breadth ( Advance to Declines) swung mightily from negative to positive, as did NASD new highs/lows. Newsletter surveys came out despite the storm (Tues. & Wed. results) but diverged widely, as shown below.
The McClellan Oscillator is still negative while its cumulative Summation is headed down to zero - don't expect a new Bull market until it bottoms out well below the zero line, if past is prologue.
Finally, over $22B came out of MMFunds last week.
Here are the numbers:
Date> | 11/2/2012 | 10/26/2012 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 13093 | 13107 |
NAZ | 2982 | 2987 | |
SPX | 1414 | 1411 | |
WklyVolume (Bshs). | |||
NASD/NYSE | 5.5/2.4 | 9.0/3.4 | |
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.29* | 2.65 | |
nasd/nyse | |||
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 68 | 75 |
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 17.6 | 17.8 | |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 1919/1222 | 1151/1998 | |
Weekly Net: | 697 | -847 | |
Cumulative: | 141883 | 141186 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 318/87 | 231/113 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 169/138 | 117/186 |
McClellan | Oscillator | -19 | -37 |
McClellanSum | .+750/-1000 | 339 | 381 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 41.5 | 41.5 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 27.7 | 27.7 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 35.7 | 29.2 | |
Bear | 23.3 | 43.1 | |
COT:Change w/w | large/small (net)k | 1/24. | (3)/30 |
CEOinsider | selling | 13:1 | 55:1 |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 70 | 69 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | 1weeklag | (1.9B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | (22.7B) | .9B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | 287B | AUG.: |
ETF:Eqty/ | Int'l/Bond | 715/270/230 | AUG.: |
Assets in | Billion$$ . | week | |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.29% | 0.31% |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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