Since rising to the April 2 high on the SPX of 1422 it again hit that number Monday with a Candlestick Hammer. Despite that the Inv.Intell. Bull/Bear, and especially the AAII one are both getting stretched to the complacency side. Both the McClellan Oscillator and Summation are only halfway to a speculative top yet; the Bullish % is getting close to a top.
Followers of my DITM (deep-in-the-money) covered call strategy can see how one can make a profit even if the stock drops, at: http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard
DITM is IMO the optimal strategy in a sideways to down market, which has been the case since the October '07 high, and probable future. More also at:
Here are the numbers:
Date> | 8/23/12thurs | 8/17/2012 | |
Indices: | DJIA | xxx | 13275 |
NAZ | xxx | 3076 | |
SPX | xxx | 1418 | |
NASD/NYSE | WklyVolume (Bshs). | 8.0/2.8 | |
nasd/nyse | Specul.Ratio hi=bullish xx | 2.86 | |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | xx | 61 |
Barron's | VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 13.5 | |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. xx | 1995/1157 | ||
Weekly Net: | xx | 838 | |
Cumulative: xx | 139955 | ||
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | xx | 359/45 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | xx | 190/125 |
McClellan | Oscillator | -9 | 29 |
McClellan Sum | .+750/-1000 | 667 | 656 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 47.3 | 43.6 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 24.7 | 26.6 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 42 | 36.8 | |
Bear | 25.9 | 28.1 | |
COT:Change w/w | large/small (net)k | 1/(1) | |
CEOinsider | selling | 25:1 | |
BalticDryIndex | GlobalEcon | discont. | |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 70 | 70 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | 1 wk lag | 1 wk lag |
MMF flows | Change in $B | 11.7B | |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | JUNE: 284 B | |
ETF:Eqty/Int'l/Bond | million$$ . | JUNE: 686/258/222 | |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.28% | 0.30% |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
Subscribe in a reader
No comments:
Post a Comment