Being dropped from the Sentiment Indicator grid is the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) of global shipping - 100% of the largest shipping owners pooh-poohed it as a reliable indicator. The number of AAII Bears has dropped greatly as the Bulls increased; insider selling more than doubled (college funding?), as did the McClellan Summation Index; the Oscillator hovers around +50 - my sell signal.
What remains impressive is the market breadth - if not the DJIA nor SPX - my cumulative Advance/Decline of NYSE stocks continues to make new highs, and number of stocks at new lows are almost nonexistent.
July-August has an 80% chance of rising in election years - but then there is that 20%!!!!
More blah,blah,blah can be found at:
Date> | 7/6/2012 | 6/29/2012 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 12772 | 12880 |
NAZ | 2937 | 2935 | |
SPX | 1354 | 1362 | |
NASD/NYSE | WklyVolume (Bshs). | 5.7/2.5 | 8.3/4.1 |
nasd/nyse | Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 2.28 | 2.02 |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 69 | 72 |
Barron's | VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 17.1 | 17.1 |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 2030/1126 | 2431/742 | |
Weekly Net: | 904 | 1689 | |
Cumulative: | 136932 | 136028 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 513/22 | 346/147 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 297/71 | 220/172 |
McClellan | Oscillator | 47 | 76 |
McClellan Sum | .+750/-1000 | 519 | 208 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 42.5 | 38.7 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 24.5 | 24.7 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 32.6 | 28.7 | |
Bear | 33.3 | 44.4 | |
COT:Change w/w | large/small (net)k | (2)/(10) | (2)/(10) |
CEOinsider | selling | 34:1 | 13:1 |
BalticDryIndex | GlobalEcon | discont. | 924 |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | 60 | 56 |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | 1 wk lag | (1.5B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | 3.3B | 3.4B |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly | May | 279B |
ETF:Eqty/Int'l/Bond | million$$ . | May | 650/248/216 |
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.28% | 0.31% |
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