As expected, investors (those few who remain after the 70% artificial intelligence crowd gets through with them) got a bit defensive in attitude: the CBOE Equity put/call ratio rose from 60 to 66 the past week; AAII Bears rose hugely from 27% to 41%! Bulls dropped 10 points to 28.
Dollars continue to exit Money Market Funds (no surprise there) but also from equity funds. Most are still going into bonds, some ETFs. Today's DJIA rally is no surprise after the selloff drove the McClellan Oscillator down to -46 -just off my -50 delimiter.
Here are the weekly numbers:
Date> | 4/13/2012 | 4/5/2012 | |
Indices: | DJIA | 12849 | 13060 |
NAZ | 3011 | 3080 | |
SPX | 1370 | 1398 | |
NASD/NYSE | WklyVolume (Bshs). | 7.7/4.0 | 6.9/3.1 |
nasd/nyse | Specul.Ratio hi=bullish | 1.93 | 2.23 |
Sentiment: | put/call-CBOE | 66 | 60 |
Barron's | VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8 | 19.6 | 16.7 |
Advance/Dec-NYSE.. | 915/2260 | 1139/1999 | |
Weekly Net: | -1345 | -860 | |
Cumulative: | 131500 | 132845 | |
Weekly | NYSE hi/low | 111/109 | 246/68 |
New Hi's/Low's | Nasdaq h/l | 113/142 | 197/107 |
McClellan | Oscillator | -46 | -25 |
McClellan Sum | .+750/-1000 | 231 | 540 |
Newsletter | Inv.Intel -Bull:tues | 48.4 | 52.7 |
Surveys | Bear:-5yrs | 21.5 | 21.5 |
AAII -Bull :wed. | 28.1 | 38.2 | |
Bear | 41.6 | 27.8 | |
COT:Change w/w | large/small (net)k | 2/(1) | .6/2 |
CEOinsider | selling | 42:1 | 44:1 |
BalticDryIndex | GlobalEcon | 928 | 931 |
3-box rev | Bullish%- | sell76 | |
US equity -ICI | Fund Flows | 1 wk lag | (4.3B) |
MMF flows | Change in $B | (6.1B) | (15.2B) |
MargDebt- top (300M) | monthly FEB.. | ||
ETF:Eqty/Int'l/Bond | million$$ FEB.. | ||
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation | 0.27% | 0.32% | |
Euro futures | 1 yr.offset-CommHedg | 5.3 | 5.2 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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