After 2 months of downturn, last week's End-of-Quarter Rally saw improving breadth - my cumulative A/D set a new record high, and NYSE new highs/lows were 366 to 30. The McClellan Oscillator is still overbought at 50%; and newsletters are getting complacent.
Which is why I'm very defensive these days, in the weakest part of the year, with my DITM covered call strategy, which I am updating this Saturday for the SF Bay Area Option Group at Fort Mason. Today's drop has only 3 of my 30 position "temporarily under water". I recommend everyone take a look at this plan for at least a portion of their assets receiving 0% in CDs, MMFs; negative after taxes, Inflation, and a weakening dollar. See brentleonard.com for info on DITM - the eBook is currently being formatted.
MktSentiment | Last Week | Prev. Week | 5 Yr HI | 5 Yr LOW |
DJIA: | 12657 | 12582 | 14093 | 6626 |
Nasdaq: | 2859 | 2816 | 2861 | 1114 |
S&P 500: | 1343 | 1339 | 1561 | 683 |
CBOE Eq. put/call: | 62 | 57 | 96-10/08 | 46-1/03 |
VIX: | 16.0 | 15.9 | 90 | 8.8 |
McClellan Osc: | 49.9 | 90 | 108 | (123) |
McClellan Sum: | 524 | 248 | 1568 | (1514) |
Newsletter Surveys | ||||
InvestorsIntel.Bull: | 40.9 | 39.8 | 63 | 22.21 |
InvestorsIntel.Bear: | 24.7 | 26.9 | 54.4 | 16 |
AAII Bull: | 41.8 | 38.3 | n/a | n/a |
AAII Bear: | 24.7 | 30.2 | n/a | n/a |
US Equity-1 week lag | n/a | (3B) | ||
Money Market Flows | 3.9B | (16.9B) | ||
Baltic Dry Index: | 1453 | 1420 | 11700 | 663 |
Bullish %: | 71 | 68 | 89 | 2 |
Insider Corporate Sellers: | 58:1 | 13:1 | 235:1 | 2.4:1 |
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
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