After a 3-day and away correction the Bull seems to be on track as contrary opinion outvoted the media punsters about a mensis horribilis.
The McClellan Oscillator oscillated between a plus 45 (heralding the correction last week) to a negative 43 this week - an unusual swing. Mutual fund flows were still flat, with most money coming out of MMFs into Bonds in huge amounts. Longer term, there was a huge number of Insider Selling by key employes last week: 54:1. Bullish per cent is still toppy at record highs, Bulls/Bears ratios are mixed, with the AAII reversing to the Bear majority last week. And new highs were tremendous at 635 vs. 5 new lows - either a sign of strong breadth, or a toppy indication. Time will tell.
Here are the numbers:
MktSentiment | 9/25/2009 | Prev. Week | 5Yr. HI | 5Yr. LOW |
DJIA: | 9665 | 9783 | 14093 | 6626 |
Nasdaq: | 2090 | 2126 | 2810 | 1114 |
S&P500: | 1044 | 1065 | 1561 | 683 |
CBOE Eq. | ||||
put/call: | 61 | 53 | 96-10/08 | 46-1/03 |
VIX: | 25.6 | 23.6 | 90 | 8.8 |
McClellan Osc: | -43 | 45 | 108 | -100 |
McClelSum: | 1426 | 1436 | 1568 | -1514 |
Newsletter Surveys | ||||
Inv.Intel | 22.21 | |||
Bull: | 46.7 | 47.8 | 63 | 22.21 |
Bear: | 24.4 | 24.4 | 54.4 | 16 |
AAII-Bull/Bear: | 39.1/44.6 | 42.0/40.0 | n/a | |
Nova/Ursa: | ||||
MutualFunds: | 0.86 | 0.89 | 2.2 | 0.56 |
Baltic Dry Index: | 2163 | 2390 | 11700 | 663 |
Bullish%: | 86 | 87 | 88 | 2 |
Insider corporate | ||||
sellers: | 54:1 | n/a | 108:1 | 2.4:1 |
Mutual Fund Inflows: | -.3B | .8B | ||
ETF Inflows: | 1.5B | 4B | ||
VIX Volatility: | -4 | -10 | 12 | -22 |
VIX 1-month future: | -16 | -18 | 2 | -18 |
VIX 5-month future: | -4 | -5 | 8 | -7 |
www.mktsentiment.blogspot.com is a free weekly display of important contrary opinion statistics, with the disclosure that eventual fees may be paid to the author from readers clicking on the website and/or the small ad at the top of the column.
Readers can request being added to an e-mail distribution list alert by sending address to leonbrnt@aol.com without fear of selling their names to spammers or contracting viruses.
With record numbers of dollars coming out of Money Market Funds, mostly into the crowded trade of short term bonds, anyone who has a minimal knowledge of covered call options and/or an interest in hedging stock market exposure might want to check out: brentleonard.com for an alternative strategy that is low-risk as well as highly rewarding. For those of you wanting more details and actual trading results, a new book is available for $14.95 at Amazon.com: Zero (IN)Tolerance
Subscribe in a reader
No comments:
Post a Comment