One only hopes that with the end of the (ugliest) month, the election relief, year-end seasonality, and the DJIA approaching several multi-year support levels, we have seen a Selling Climax and the entry into a Wyckoff-type Trading Range.
For those interested in this, there appears to be only a few spaces left for next weekend's TSAA Annual Seminar on Wyckoff -www.tsaasf.org. -to register.
Some of these Indicator extremes include the VIX at record highs (actually touching 90), CBOE put/call ratios in the 80s; new highs to new lows at incredible 7 to 1000; Bullish percent at 8, after hitting a recent 2% of stocks on buy signals (probably inverse ETFs). Also at record levels - McClellan figures and Investors Intelligence Bears.
Also Bullish FOR the market - public vs. Specialist shorting is quite high and Insider Selling is very low. See below:
MktSentiment. 10/24/2008 Prev. Week.....5Yr.HI......LOW
DJIA ………. 8378…………8852………..14093............7286
Nasdaq………. 1552…………1711…………2810.............1114
S&P500…….. 876………….940………….1561………..776
CBOE Eq. put/call …83……..……..83…….…..96-10/08….....46-1/03
VIX ………. 79nh………….70nh…….…….79..-10/08bull….10.0-7/05 bear
McClellan Osc………-38…………..25……………..91 -5 /04 bear...(-100)-10/08bull
McClelSum……….…-1514nl…….-1500nl……..…....1568-6/03.......-1514-10/08
Newsletter Surveys:
Inv.Intel -Bull:…..…22.2nl……….22.4nl……….…63 (12/04bear)......22.2-10/08bull
Bear:………… 54.4nh……..52.9…..………… 54.4.10/08.......16-6/03
AAII-Bull/Bear ……38.7/38.7……40.9/39.8..……..n/a n/a
Public/NYSE Spec.-…22nh………14.1… …….……22-10/08…………14.1
Bullish%- ………8……………18………….…88 -2/04bear.....2-10/08bull
*Insider corporate sellers.4:1……..7:1 …. ………..97………….4-10/08
Mutual Fund Inflows 200M…….(14.2B)…
ETF InflowsL……….500M…….4.3B……
Money Market Inflows: .17B……..58B… ………144B
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