The VIX Index, begun in 1993 with S&P 100 near options (now changed to S&P 500), is hardly a Leading sentiment indicator, but now that there are "finally" options on it, might be worth considering for insurance purposes. Although there will always be time decay, the fact that its price is stable unless provoked by a sudden downmove in the market, the options won't get the large decay of the underlying stock, index, ETF if these move against you.
Last week's sentiment indicators were about as exciting as the market Volume, with most regressing to the middle. Notable exceptions were the record (again) low level of Bears in the I.I. survey at 18.0, and the paucity of Insider Sellers at 9:1 - it was 61:1 sellers to buyers 2 weeks ago and 97:1 a month ago!
Here are the numbers:
Mktsentiment. 7/6/2007......5Yr.HI........ LOW
DJIA ………. 13611...........13668...........7286
Nasdaq………. 2666............2627.............1114
S&P500…….. 1530............1536............776
CBOE Eq. put/call ….54............87-5/04........46-1/03
VIX ………. 14.7..........44 9/02........10.0-7/05
ISEE-call/put ……. n/a...........299-12/04.......58 - 3/9/07
(>200/Bearish)
McClel Osc……………27...............91-5/04.........(81)-5/04
McClelSum…………… 186..........1568-6/03.......(726)-5/04
Newsletter Surveys:
Inv.Intel -Bull:…..…. ..49.4...........62.9-12/04......35-6/06
Bear:………… 18.0 .........38.2-3/03.......16-6/03
AAII-Bull/Bear ………43.8/32.9....n/a n/a
MarketVane Bulls…. 67......... 74..............24
IBD: Short Interest- ….7.66……7.82………. 4.0
Public/NYSE Spec.-…..7.17………13.15……….1.0
Birinyi Blogger
Bull/Bear Poll …………36.0/32.0
Bullish%- ……….…73...............88 -2/04...... 46-8/04
*Insider corporate sellers..9:1
Sectors: Most Buyers: Basic Mat'ls
Most Sellers: Technology
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