DOOM AND GLOOM

Although not quite at record extremes, many Indicators below are starting to get frothy, as investors are switching from bonds to stocks. More commentary can be found at the Examiner link below:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date>		1/25/2013	1/18/2013
Indices:	DJIA	13895	13649
	NAZ	3149	3134
	SPX	1502	1485
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		7.3/2.7	9.0/3.6
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.70	2.50
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	66	61
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		12.9	12.4
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		2181/957	2197/968
Weekly Net:		1224	1229
Cumulative:		146829	145605
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	794/32	660/18
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	432/32	369/35
McClellan	Oscillator	35	42
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	1046	890
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	53.2	53.2
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	22.3	22.3
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	52.3	43.9
	Bear	24.3	27.3
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	12/35.	14/17.
CEOinsider	selling	47:1	22:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	81	78
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	5.0B
MMF flows	Change in $B	(4.9B)	(15.2B)
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly		327Bnov.
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond		747/304/244
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.29%	0.26%

BELOW ARE THE MULTI-YEAR HIGHS AND LOWS FOR THE INDICATORS:

Date>	DECADE	HI	LOW
Indices:	DJIA	14093	6626
	NAZ	2937	1114
	SPX	1561	683
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		3.15	1.59
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	104.11/08	42
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		90	8.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE..
Weekly Net:
Cumulative:		143458	71464
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	950	18
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l
McClellan	Oscillator	Jan.09:108	May.'12:(110)
McClellan Sum	.+750/-1000	1568-6/03	(1514).
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	62.9-12/04	22.2-10/08
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	54.4-10/08	15.6
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	(12/10)63.3
	Bear	70.3(3/09)	16.4
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k
CEOinsider	selling	235:1	.2.1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	88	2
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	381B(7/07)

Oh Say Can U. C.?

Despite several reasons for a renewed Bull market - Asian resurgence from Japan and China economies, low rates, housing and low oil prices, valuations moving dollars from bonds to stocks- near term, the caution lights are on. More commentary at my Examiner.com:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

(For automatic alerts, please click on "Subscribe" at the top of the column)

Here are the numbers:

Date>		1/18/2013	1/11/2013
Indices:	DJIA	13649	13488
	NAZ	3134	3125
	SPX	1485	1472
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		9.0/3.6	8.6/3.3
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.50	2.61
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	61	67
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		12.4	13.4
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		2197/968	1937/1208
Weekly Net:		1229	729
Cumulative:		145605	144376
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	660/18	578/16
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	369/35	343/34
McClellan	Oscillator	42	40
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	890	735
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	53.2	51.1
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	22.3	23.4
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	43.9	46.4
	Bear	27.3	26.9
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	14/17.	6/23.
CEOinsider	selling	22:1	130:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	78	77
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	8.0B
MMF flows	Change in $B	(15.2B)	12B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly	327Bnov.
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond	747/304/244
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.26%	0.26%

DJIA Vu

This week's Sentiment Indicators include some pretty wild extremes, considering the VIX is only at 13. For a commentary of these statistics, please click on:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date:		1/11/2013	1/4/2013
Indices:	DJIA	13488	13435
	NAZ	3125	3101
	SPX	1472	1466
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		8.6/3.3	7.1/2.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.61	2.45
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	67	58
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		13.4	13.8
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		1937/1208	3011/188
Weekly Net:		729	2823
Cumulative:		144376	143647
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	578/16	589/41
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	343/34	356/65
McClellan	Oscillator	40	55
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	735	533
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	51.1	47.8
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	23.4	24.5
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	46.4	38.7
	Bear	26.9	(3.6B)
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	6/23.	13/15.
CEOinsider	selling	130:1	59:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	77	75
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	(8.3B)	1weeklag
MMF flows	Change in $B	12B	38B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.26%	0.28%

2013

The first week of 2013 sees some toppiness in the Sentiment Indicators - if government will keep out of it! Please click on the Examiner.com link for more details:

http://www.examiner.com/stock-market-in-san-francisco/brent-leonard

Date:		1/4/2013	12/28/2012
Indices:	DJIA	13435	12938
	NAZ	3101	2960
	SPX	1466	1402
WklyVolume (Bshs).
NASD/NYSE		7.1/2.9	4.1/1.9
Specul.Ratio hi=bullish		2.45	2.16
nasd/nyse
Sentiment:	put/call-CBOE	58	68
VIX>50-alltmlow=8.8		13.8	22.7
Advance/Dec-NYSE..		3011/188	778/2373
Weekly Net:		2823	-1595
Cumulative:		143647	140824
Weekly	NYSE hi/low	589/41	152/73
New Hi's/Low's	Nasdaq h/l	356/65	95/73
McClellan	Oscillator	55	-39
McClellanSum	.+750/-1000	533	401
Newsletter	Inv.Intel -Bull:tues	47.8	48.9
Surveys	Bear:-5yrs	24.5	24.5
	AAII  -Bull :wed.	38.7	44.4
	Bear	(3.6B)	30.2
COT:Change w/w	large/small (net)k	13/15.	9/13.
CEOinsider	selling	59:1	53:1
3-box rev	Bullish%-	75	70
US equity -ICI	Fund Flows	1weeklag	(5.2B)
MMF flows	Change in $B	38B	28B
MargDebt- top (300M)	monthly
ETF:Eqty/	Int'l/Bond
Assets in	Billion$$ .
2-yr Tsy Yield: Inflation		0.28%	0.25%